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How to Decide
Cover of How to Decide
How to Decide
Simple Tools for Making Better Choices
Through a blend of compelling exercises, illustrations, and stories, the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets will train you to combat your own biases, address your weaknesses, and help you become a better and more confident decision-maker.
What do you do when you're faced with a big decision? If you're like most people, you probably make a pro and con list, spend a lot of time obsessing about decisions that didn't work out, get caught in analysis paralysis, endlessly seek other people's opinions to find just that little bit of extra information that might make you sure, and finally go with your gut.
What if there was a better way to make quality decisions so you can think clearly, feel more confident, second-guess yourself less, and ultimately be more decisive and be more productive?
Making good decisions doesn't have to be a series of endless guesswork. Rather, it's a teachable skill that anyone can sharpen. In How to Decide, bestselling author Annie Duke and former professional poker player lays out a series of tools anyone can use to make better decisions. You'll learn:
    To identify and dismantle hidden biases.
    To extract the highest quality feedback from those whose advice you seek.
    To more accurately identify the influence of luck in the outcome of your decisions.
    When to decide fast, when to decide slow, and when to decide in advance.
    To make decisions that more effectively help you to realize your goals and live your values.
Through interactive exercises and engaging thought experiments, this book helps you analyze key decisions you've made in the past and troubleshoot those you're making in the future. Whether you're picking investments, evaluating a job offer, or trying to figure out your romantic life, How to Decide is the key to happier outcomes and fewer regrets.
Through a blend of compelling exercises, illustrations, and stories, the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets will train you to combat your own biases, address your weaknesses, and help you become a better and more confident decision-maker.
What do you do when you're faced with a big decision? If you're like most people, you probably make a pro and con list, spend a lot of time obsessing about decisions that didn't work out, get caught in analysis paralysis, endlessly seek other people's opinions to find just that little bit of extra information that might make you sure, and finally go with your gut.
What if there was a better way to make quality decisions so you can think clearly, feel more confident, second-guess yourself less, and ultimately be more decisive and be more productive?
Making good decisions doesn't have to be a series of endless guesswork. Rather, it's a teachable skill that anyone can sharpen. In How to Decide, bestselling author Annie Duke and former professional poker player lays out a series of tools anyone can use to make better decisions. You'll learn:
    To identify and dismantle hidden biases.
    To extract the highest quality feedback from those whose advice you seek.
    To more accurately identify the influence of luck in the outcome of your decisions.
    When to decide fast, when to decide slow, and when to decide in advance.
    To make decisions that more effectively help you to realize your goals and live your values.
Through interactive exercises and engaging thought experiments, this book helps you analyze key decisions you've made in the past and troubleshoot those you're making in the future. Whether you're picking investments, evaluating a job offer, or trying to figure out your romantic life, How to Decide is the key to happier outcomes and fewer regrets.
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  • From the book Introduction

    You make thousands of decisions every day—some big, some small. Some clearly of great consequence, like what job to take. And some clearly of little consequence, like what to eat for breakfast.

    No matter what type of decision you’re facing, it’s imperative to develop a decision process that not only improves your decision quality, but also helps sort your decisions so you can identify which ones are bigger and which ones are smaller.

    Why is it so important to have a high-quality decision process?

    Because there are only two things that determine how your life turns out: luck and the quality of your decisions. You have control over only one of those two things.

    Luck, by definition, it out of your control. Where and when you were born, whether your boss comes into work in a bad mood, which admissions officer happens to see your college application—these are all things that are out of your hands.

    What you do have some control over, what you can improve, is the quality of your decisions. And when you make better-quality decisions, you increase the chances that good things will happen to you.

    The only thing you have control over that can influence the way your life turns out is the quality of your decisions.

    I believe this is a pretty noncontroversial thing to say: It’s important to improve your decision process, because it’s the one thing you have control over in determining the quality of your life.

    Even though the importance of making quality decisions seems obvious, it’s surprising how few people can actually articulate what a good decision process looks like.

    This is something that I’ve been thinking about all my adult life. First, as a PhD student in cognitive science. Then, as a professional poker player, where I had to constantly make rapid, high-stakes decisions with real money on the line, in an environment where luck has an obvious and significant influence on your short-term results. And for the past eighteen years, as a business consultant on decision strategy, helping executives, teams, and employees make better decisions. (Not to mention as a parent, trying to raise four healthy and happy children.)

    What I’ve experienced in all these different contexts is that people are generally quite poor at explaining how one might go about making a high-quality decision.

    This difficulty isn’t just confined to novice poker players or college students or entry-level employees. Even when I ask C-level executives—who are literally full-time decision-makers—what a high-quality decision process looks like the answers I get are all over the map: “Ultimately, I trust my gut”; “Ideally, I follow the consensus of a committee”; “I weigh the alternatives by making a pros and cons list.”

    This is actually not that surprising. Outside of vague directives about encouraging critical-thinking skills, decision-making is not explicitly taught in K–12 education. If you want to learn about making great decisions, you’re unlikely to run into a class on the subject until college or beyond, and even then, only as an elective.

    No wonder we don’t have a common approach. We don’t even have a common language for talking about decision-making.

    The consequences of being unable to articulate what makes a decision good can be disastrous. After all, your decision-making is the single most important thing you have control over that will help you achieve your goals.

    That is why I wrote this book.

    How to Decide is...
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How to Decide
How to Decide
Simple Tools for Making Better Choices
Annie Duke
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